Arsenal vs Manchester City Match Prediction: Arsenal hosts table-toppers Manchester City at the Emirates on Saturday to start off the New Year with a high-profile Premier League match. Arsenal hasn’t had much success in this match in previous years. For a long time, Manchester City has had their number. The way Pep Guardiola’s team is rolling through its opponents should set off alarm bells across North London.
However, the Gunners have performed well in recent weeks. They have gone undefeated in their past five games in all competitions, scoring 19 goals along the way. Bukayo Saka, Emile Smith Rowe, and Gabriel MARTINELLI have all shone for Mikel Arleta’s team. Arsenal is presently fourth in the Premier League standings. Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur, who both have two games in hand on the Gunners, are among the chasers. So if Arsenal loses tonight, the race for fourth place will be quite exciting.
Manchester City is undefeated in the Premier League after ten games. They lead the standings by eight points and have a terrific opportunity to extend their lead against a team they’ve relished ripping apart.
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Manchester City against Arsenal Key Numbers and Head-to-Head
- Manchester City has won all of their Premier League encounters with Arsenal in the previous nine years. It is Arsenal’s Premier League losing streaks longest.
- In the FA Cup, Arsenal last defeated Manchester City in 2020.
- Arsenal has failed to score in all four of its home league meetings against Manchester City this season. In those four games, Pep’s players have scored a total of nine goals.
- In their past five encounters with Manchester City, Arsenal has failed to score a single goal. They were defeated 5-0 by City in the first half of the current season.
Arsenal vs Manchester City Match Prediction
Our picks are based on our research of the spread and total, and they show where we are leaning for this game. Our best bet is the play we like the most for this game, and we’d be willing to risk some of our money on it.
Side-by-side comparisons
- We hardly knew you, title race.
After the first few months looked to set up a spectacular three-club championship competition between City, Liverpool, and Chelsea, it’s becoming more probable that City will run away with it, like they have in previous years. They lead the league by nine points, with an offensive on par with Liverpool’s, a better defensive record than the others, and unrivaled depth. With a 10-game winning run in the league, it wouldn’t be remarkable if it continued far into the teens.
The city is the greatest team in the world, headed by the best manager in the world, and now blazing on all cylinders.
While City should be anticipated to dominate any rival at this point, Arsenal should not be seen as a walkover. Arsenal’s season-long stats are still being influenced by their start, but it’s becoming more evident that they should be favorites to finish fourth after missing out on Europe entirely last season.
Arsenal Vs Man City Match Prediction
With a trio of new acquisitions solidifying an ever-improving backline, a defense that has plagued them for many seasons has been solved. With the return of Gabriel MARTINELLI, their offense has soared to new heights, to the point that top goal scorer Emile Smith-Rowe has been unable to reclaim his place in the starting 11.
However, it’s evident that the City machine is unstoppable at the moment, and the distance between the reigning champions and the rest of the league (maybe with the exception of Liverpool) is huge. With a +1.76 xG differential per 90, City leads the Premier League, while Arsenal is sixth with a +0.12 xG difference per 90. That +1.64 differential is larger than the one between Arsenal and 20th (Newcastle). Arsenal is one of the best Premier League teams. On a global scale, cities are elite.
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Over/Under-evaluation
With nearly any total in a contest, we must include the probability of Manchester City exceeding it on their own. Pep’s squad is playing as well as ever, and the chances of them winning the championship are growing by the week.
The city has 51 goals in 20 games, with a projected goal total of 47.6. They also have the most shot-creating activities per 90 minutes in the league. They’ve already scored multiple goals 13 times this season, including three or more in four of their past six league games. It’s virtually a certainty that they’ll put at least two past Arsenal here, and with COVID forcing key defensive players out for the Gunners, another three-day game isn’t out of the question.
The mere presence of the city is enough to get us moving. Arsenal may bail us out with a goal over here, but not for free. Their three-man midfield behind the striker has been excellent lately, and the offense has stepped up a notch since MARTINELLI’s return. Arsenal has risen to fourth in xG and fifth in goals scored, and with City without Kyle Walker and John Stones, they have a chance to score in this match.
The best option
Anyone who has watched Raheem Sterling’s career with Liverpool, Manchester City, and England knows how inconsistent his form is. When he’s on form, however, he’s as excellent as any attacker in the world, capable of destroying defenses in the build-up, cutting inside onto his right foot from the left, and blasting unstoppable long-range shots.
Sterling has lately rediscovered that level of form, seizing the opportunity to recover a starting spot in City’s lineup amid the hectic holiday season. Sterling has scored eight goals in City’s last ten games in all competitions, with the exception of two Premier League starts and a 45-minute substitute appearance in the Champions League. Sterling has been their finest player recently, along with Bernardo Silva, scoring in each of City’s last three league games (including two on Boxing Day).
Sterling is a fantastic bet to continue his scoring streak against Arsenal, especially in light of recent events. Due to a positive COVID-19 test, Arsenal right-back Takehiro Tomiyasu, one of the season’s greatest purchases, has been ruled out, leaving the Gunners without one of their top defenders — and the one who would be entrusted with guarding Sterling. Sterling will be free to cause major damage down the left flank without Tamiya’s, including adding to his recent goal total.
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Weather
Rain in North London will ease by kickoff for Arsenal vs. Man City on Saturday, with just a 10% probability of precipitation in the afternoon. The temperature will be approximately 55 degrees Fahrenheit.
Injuries
Arsenal will be without Cedric (CB), Calum Chambers (CB), Takehiro Tomiyasu (RB), Ainsley Maitland-Niles (CM), and Sead Kolasinac (CB) (Out).Manchester City: Kyle Walker RB, John Stones CB (questionable), and Rodri CM (questionable) Questionable
Conclusion
Arsenal will be without Mikel Arleta in the dugout when they face Manchester City on New Year’s Day at Emirates Stadium. Arsenal boss Arsine Wenger will be watching the midday kick-off from home after testing positive for Covid-19. The Gunners will be attempting to halt the Manchester City juggernaut. Arsenal has climbed the Premier League rankings in recent weeks, now sitting fourth following four consecutive victories.
